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Nearly half of the payday borrowers -- 46 percent -- defaulted within two years. A third of the borrowers defaulted within six months. Those findings are consistent with previous studies, the paper says, including a 2008 analysis by researchers at Vanderbilt University and the University of Pennsylvania. It showed a 54 percent default rate among payday loan borrowers in Texas within one year. Another study by the Center for Responsible Lending, in 2011, found a 44 percent default rate within two years in Oklahoma.
Perhaps more surprising to Montezemolo, then, wasnt the high rate of default, but the timing of the defaults: among those who defaulted, nearly half did so on either their first loan (22 percent) or their second loan (26 percent).
Numbers like that raise the question -- if the default rate is so high, how could the business model last. As it turns out, default doesnt spell the end of paying the lender, or of taking out another payday loan: 66 percent of borrowers who defaulted still wound up repaying their entire debt.